ETH毛毛虫
ETH毛毛虫
Four years in the circle|Secondary trader|Digital nomad|Love to tell the truth|Real shouting orders Analysis content|Main analysis of mainstream coins $BTC $ETH - the goal is to hold 1,000 ETH, most of the content is entertainment, and the content is real is my true opinion
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$DOGE current price is not the peak, but the foothill.
First, the short-term decline is just an illusion. DOGE is currently priced around $0.101–0.102 USD. Short-term traders are running away watching the downtrend, but smart money is counting the profit sheet of the Meme sector. It has dropped about 12% in the past seven days, but this is exactly the accumulation phase before a bull market.
Second, social media hype is not a PPT. The $DOGE community activity remains the strongest in the crypto circle, with heat returning on Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok. Every time the Meme sector revives, DOGE leads, with funds lining up to enter.
Third, whale funds are positioning. On-chain data shows large holders have cumulatively bought over 500 million DOGE; funds are quietly building positions. Short-sighted money is running, smart money is waiting for takeoff.
Fourth, history does not lie. DOGE once surged from a few cents to $0.74 USD, creating an astonishing increase. Now it has stabilized again at the key support level of $0.10 USD, and the market generally believes the driving force behind this rally is stronger than before.
Repeatedly exceeding expectations is not luck, but the demand for Meme coins is rewriting the profit sheet of $DOGE.
At this price level, it is not the peak, but the foothill. #加息重回讨论桌:沃什就任,年底加息正式定价 $BTC $ETH
$BTC The advancement of the "CLARITY Act" has once again been stalled in the Senate process.
The bill has already passed the Banking Committee with a 15-9 vote and has gained bipartisan support in the House.
Once enacted, it will clearly define the regulatory authority division between the SEC and CFTC, resolving the biggest regulatory ambiguity in the crypto market.
However, the Senate schedule is congested, and with the interference of border security disputes, the possibility of passing in August is now doubtful.
The American Federation of Labor has also come out in opposition, fearing the bill would introduce digital assets into pension and retirement accounts.
The regulatory boot has yet to drop, which ironically removes a short-term certainty downside for the market.
But the overall momentum of the bill remains strong, and in the long term, the implementation of a compliance framework is just a matter of time. #加息重回讨论桌:沃什就任,年底加息正式定价 $BTC $ETH
$BTC Just now! The Federal Reserve Chair was sworn in at the White House, the first time in 40 years
Washington exploded—the new Fed Chair Kevin Walsh took the oath directly at the White House instead of the Fed headquarters.
The last time this happened was in 1987 when Reagan swore in Greenspan. Trump personally endorsed him, saying Walsh would be "completely independent." Do you believe it?
Who is Walsh? 56 years old, a familiar face, served as a Fed governor back in 2006, one of the youngest. Trump interviewed him in 2017 but ultimately chose Powell. After twists and turns, he finally took office this time.
But the situation he inherits is hot and messy—
👉 Inflation exploded again: April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, core CPI hit a 6-month high. Middle East turmoil sent oil prices soaring.
👉 Internal conflicts: Fed divisions are the fiercest since 1992, with an 8:4 split at the April rate meeting; some want rate cuts, others won’t even allow "dovish leanings" to be mentioned.
👉 White House pressure: Trump used to criticize Powell for not cutting rates, but this time he’s learned, saying "let Walsh handle it himself."
How will Walsh break the deadlock? Balance sheet reduction combined with rate cuts.
He advocates: tightening the balance sheet to "set rules," while looking for opportunities to symbolically cut rates to give the White House some cover. He also wants to change inflation metrics, speak less, promise less, and intervene less in financial regulation—aiming for a flexible, hardline approach.
How is the market betting? Not cutting but raising. Traders are 100% expecting the Fed to hike rates by 25 basis points before the end of 2026.
The first big test: the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. Walsh’s first press conference as chair, the world will be watching his every word.
Old and new chairs together (Powell remains a governor), special White House backing, internal splits, inflation pressure—
The first shot of the "Walsh era" might not be about interest rates but a faith-level reshaping. #加息重回讨论桌:沃什就任,年底加息正式定价 $HYPE $BTC
$SOL Brothers, SOL dropping from 98 to 84 is no joke. All EMA moving averages are pressing down from above, and the 20-day line at 87.8 is like an iron gate. The funding rate is still negative, indicating that big money hasn't turned bullish at all. There's a whale with $19.26 million worth of SOL waiting to sell — this is not a bottom-fishing signal, it's a "run away" signal.
The current floor is 82, and this drop will most likely test that level. The ceiling is 90, which it simply can't break through in the short term.
The short strategy is to wait for a rebound to 88, get pushed back, then enter the market, with a take-profit near 80 on high volume with a wick. If you really want to bet on a rebound, you have to wait for 82 to hold with volume before considering it, otherwise you're just giving away your position.
Right now, retail traders are too crowded. Once 82 breaks, it will head straight to 76-78, so don't stubbornly hold on.
This is my personal opinion for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Brothers with different views can discuss in the comments. #加息重回讨论桌:沃什就任,年底加息正式定价 $BTC $ETH
$BTC Suddenly, a huge waterfall crash hit the crypto circle late at night!
The overall market just started to pull back. Although there’s new news from Musk’s side and many are desperately buying DOGE, thinking it will rise, the backend data actually shows funds continuously flowing out.
From the daily chart, each high is lower than the last, clearly a downtrend. It just broke below the key level of 0.10420, and the subsequent small rebound had no strength. Most likely, it will continue to fall.
Since so many are stubbornly holding on, the smartest move for big money is to push down another wave, washing out the weak-willed, then consider lifting after buying cheap chips near 0.100.
So, right now, following the main force to be bearish is the wisest choice.
‼️Specific plan: Bearish
Suitable entry: Wait for a slight rebound to around 0.10550-0.10650 before acting.
Stop loss: Set at 0.10750; if it forcibly breaks above 0.10700, admit defeat.
Next, it depends on whether the market gives the opportunity. #披萨节狂欢:预测哈希能赢BTC,你敢预测一下吗? $BTC $ETH
$HYPE Tonight at 23:00, Kevin Warsh will be sworn in as the Federal Reserve Chairman at the White House. Trump broke tradition by personally endorsing him. Powell, who was criticized for four years as “Mr. Too Late,” finally steps down, but what Warsh inherits is probably the hottest potato in the history of the Fed.
His nomination confirmation vote was 54:45, almost entirely along party lines, marking the largest division in the history of chairman nominations. More critically, the minutes from the April meeting leaked: the “vast majority” of officials believe that returning inflation to 2% is a distant prospect, and a “majority” explicitly stated that if inflation remains high, further rate hikes are appropriate, with some even advocating for the removal of the “dovish tilt” language. The door to rate cuts has been internally welded shut.
At his core, Warsh is a moderate pragmatist wearing a hawkish mask. He is focused on the $36 trillion debt interest burden and has devised a strategy of “balance sheet reduction in exchange for rate cuts”—actively selling long-term bonds to suppress inflation expectations, then adjusting inflation statistics to exclude oil price fluctuations to make room for rate cuts. But this plan simply won’t work. The US-Iran conflict has pushed oil prices up over 50%, April CPI rose to 3.8%, and PPI hit 6%. Nomura has completely wiped out rate cut expectations for 2026, bluntly stating he “cannot convince the majority of the FOMC members to support rate cuts.” Even Trump has sensed danger and recently changed his tone, no longer clamoring for immediate rate cuts, which is often the calm before the storm.
What unsettles the market most is his identity dilemma. Handpicked by Trump and sworn in at the White House, this itself severely violates the Fed’s tradition of independence. Not cutting rates risks repeating Powell’s fate of being called a “traitor”; forcibly cutting rates, if long-term Treasury yields spiral out of control, will label him a “political puppet.” Harvard economist Rogoff warned: “Once the market believes you are undermining central bank independence, they will immediately push rates higher, the exact opposite of what you want.”
Warsh was once Bernanke’s deputy and now finally at the helm, only to find inflation waves ahead and political pursuers behind. The market is already betting on a rate hike in July. The truly harsh question is: as inflation continues to worsen, will this new chairman, who is expected to cut rates, be forced to cast a vote in favor of rate hikes? If that day comes, tonight’s White House fanfare will become the most ironic footnote. #披萨节狂欢:预测哈希能赢BTC,你敢预测一下吗? $BTC $ETH
$BTC Wow, the altcoins in the Grayscale sector. LAP suddenly had two waves of volume spikes. Looks like the funds are about to start making moves this time. But what needs attention is that the neighboring LPT has an annualized yield as high as 213%. It’s possible someone is borrowing coins to pump and dump.
Worth keeping an eye on. See if there’s an opportunity. #披萨节狂欢:预测哈希能赢BTC,你敢预测一下吗? $ETH $HYPE
$HYPE's record-breaking surge Hyperliquid's HYPE token soared over 20% driven by a massive short squeeze, hitting a new all-time high above $62 — with $31.8 million in short liquidations within 24 hours, compared to only $2 million in long liquidations. ETF inflows into the US HYPE spot ETF recorded a net inflow of $16.15 million on May 21, led by Bitwise's BHYP. a16z has accumulated $356 million in HYPE, becoming the largest external institutional holder. #HYPE多空决战:最大空头爆仓删号 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE CoinWorld news, Arkham reports that the Hype token has just surpassed $60, with a market cap exceeding $15 billion. Institutional ETF inflows, pre-IPO stock trading of companies like SpaceX and OpenAI, and a surge in perpetual contract trading volume have driven this rise. Our research team has analyzed the factors behind Hype's surge. #HYPE多空决战:最大空头爆仓删号 $BTC $ETH
$HYPE Lookonchain reported that an anonymous address opened a $38.63 million 25x leveraged long position on Ethereum. Lookonchain also mentioned that in the past four days, this address earned about $7.5 million from long positions in Zcash and Hyperliquid #HYPE多空决战:最大空头爆仓删号 $BTC $ETH