交易员刺客

The only trader in the Assassin community @飞哥定投策略

Although interest rate hikes are back on the discussion table: institutional signals collectively weaken But good news from the US and Iran 👍🏻 Currently holding long positions Stop loss at 74500 Taking profit on one quarter now Next take profit target at 77488 #加息重回讨论桌：机构信号集体转弱 $BTC $ETH $HYPE

Assassin Community In-Depth Research: Why Can HYPE Surge Against the Trend? Understand These 4 Fundamental Logics, and You'll Know It's Not "Pure Speculation" Hello everyone, I am Assassin, a trader from the Assassin Community. Recently, many brothers have asked me why, under the looming pressure of interest rate hikes and the torn market sentiment, HYPE has managed to carve out an independent rally? Some even asked, holding my previous posts, whether this doubling is purely due to market manipulation? Today, let's dig into what exactly has supported HYPE's sustained rise. 1. The Strongest Fundamental Logic: Not Pure Speculation, but a "Real Money" Deflationary Flywheel Many think HYPE is just a hype-chasing altcoin, but its rise is fundamentally supported by the Hyperliquid protocol's business model, which is the essential difference from most pure air coins. 1. 100% Fee Buyback, Naturally Creating "Organic Buying Pressure" The trading fees on the Hyperliquid platform are almost entirely used to repurchase HYPE on the secondary market for burning or staking, forming a closed loop: the higher the platform's trading volume → the more fee income → the stronger the buyback → the less circulating supply, naturally providing sustained price support. Even without institutional capital inflows, the platform's own buybacks provide a fixed daily buy order of hundreds of thousands of USD, which is a very rare "real cash flow" support in today's market. 2. RWA Contracts Launched, Unlocking the Trading Volume Ceiling Many haven't noticed that Hyperliquid is no longer just a pure crypto derivatives platform. By introducing RWA (Real World Asset) contracts such as gold, crude oil, and US stock indices, the platform's daily trading volume has surged to tens of billions of USD, causing fee income to grow exponentially. Simply put, today's HYPE is backed by a trading platform with continuous real revenue, not a project sustained by slogans. 2. Institutional Capital "Certainty": ETF + Major Players Increasing Holdings, Raising the Buying Pressure to New Heights This strong and sustained rally is definitely not driven by retail funds; the real driver is the entry of Wall Street institutions. 1. Intensive ETF Launches Open the Door to Compliant Incremental Capital Leading asset managers like Bitwise and 21Shares have successively launched HYPE-related ETF products. More importantly, Bitwise has directly committed to continuously buying and staking 10% of the ETF management fees in HYPE, meaning "the larger the ETF scale, the more buying pressure." The launch of these compliant products breaks the previous retail-driven game and brings a continuous stream of incremental capital to the market. 2. Major Addresses Keep Increasing Holdings, On-Chain Data Doesn't Lie On-chain data shows that institutional addresses related to Grayscale and Goldman Sachs have been continuously buying HYPE recently. Grayscale-related addresses alone have aggressively purchased tens of millions of USD worth of tokens. The entry of these institutional funds sends a clear signal to the market: HYPE is not short-term speculation but an asset recognized by mainstream institutions, further amplifying market confidence. 3. "Booster" of Trading Structure: Market Control + Short Squeeze Maximize Upward Momentum What many see as "market manipulation" is just the surface; behind it is the dual boost from concentrated holdings and the derivatives market. 1. Highly Concentrated Holdings Give Market Control Funds the Initiative On-chain data shows that the top ten HYPE addresses hold large amounts of tokens and initiate concentrated rallies at key moments (e.g., Bitcoin Pizza Day), directly triggering a chain reaction of short liquidations in the derivatives market. This "price surge → short liquidation → price continues rising → more short liquidation" positive feedback loop, commonly called a "short squeeze," is the direct driver of this strong rally. 2. Market Sentiment Divergence Makes the Independent Rally a "Safe Haven" for Capital While BTC, ETH, and other mainstream assets fluctuate under interest rate hike expectations, HYPE has formed a completely independent upward trend, making it one of the few "profit effect benchmarks" in the market, attracting a large amount of speculative capital seeking excess returns, further pushing up the price. 4. Assassin Community's Risk Reminder: Behind the Frenzy, Beware of These Pitfalls The stronger the rise, the easier it is to overlook risks. Here are some key risk points to keep in mind—don't just focus on profits and forget risk control: 1. Pullback Risk Under High Volatility: If ETF funds and institutional buying slow down, combined with overall market liquidity tightening, prices can quickly pull back. High-leverage traders especially need to be cautious. 2. Double-Edged Sword of Concentrated Holdings: Market control funds might also dump heavily at highs. Once a sell-off occurs, the decline can be faster than the rise, leaving retail investors no time to react. 3. Regulatory Uncertainty: Although there are currently positive expectations for compliance, future regulatory changes may still impact the market. To be honest, only those who understand the fundamental logic behind the rise can hold the position. But no matter how strong the logic, it can't withstand a reversal in market sentiment. Don't get blinded by the current gains, never go all in, and never lose your stop loss. Original by Assassin Community, unauthorized reproduction prohibited. #HYPE多空博弈 $BTC $ETH $HYPE

Interest rate hike clouds loom, market sentiment is split: on one side shouting "financial tsunami," on the other side leveraged all-in surges Hello everyone, I am Assassin, a trader from the Assassin community. Today, I won’t talk about metaphysics, only the real signals and contradictions happening in the market. 1. Macro side: From "hoping for rate cuts" to "guarding against rate hikes," market expectations have completely reversed In the past week, the macro environment of the entire crypto market has been experiencing a severe "expectation earthquake." 1. The probability of a Fed rate hike has surged to 67%, with no hike in June almost certain CME interest rate futures data show that the market pricing for a Fed rate hike this year has exceeded 67%. Interestingly, keeping rates unchanged in June is almost a done deal. This combination of "long-term rate hike expectations + short-term policy vacuum" is bringing huge uncertainty to the market. 2. Institutional signals collectively weaken, smart money begins to retreat ◦ MicroStrategy founder Saylor announced this week a pause in increasing BTC holdings, switching to bond buybacks, breaking the previous almost weekly accumulation rhythm. ◦ 10x Research’s BTC trend tracking model has also shifted from bullish to bearish, citing weakening on-chain data and highly concentrated long positions in the derivatives market, which often signals a market turn. ◦ ECB President Lagarde hinted that inflation outlook may be raised in June, intensifying divergence between US and European monetary policies and further tightening global liquidity. 3. Market sentiment polarizes: "doomsday theory" and "all-in frenzy" coexist On forums, some users shout "the bulls’ last supper is over, Monday will witness the bloodiest financial tsunami of 2026," believing a systemic collapse is imminent; meanwhile, a large amount of capital is frantically all-in on small coins, creating an unprecedented emotional split. 2. Micro side: Pizza Day celebration, HYPE stages a 20x leveraged long feast Amid the macro clouds, on Bitcoin Pizza Day, the market staged a completely opposite extreme scenario. 1. HYPE performs a "controlled pump," shorts collectively crushed According to on-chain data, HYPE’s top ten trading addresses have high control, launching a fierce rally on Pizza Day that caused massive short liquidations. A trader shared a 20x leveraged long position with floating profits soaring to +921.91%, entry price 41.11, mark price 60.09, nearly 10x floating gains. 2. Trader’s strategy: partial take profit with stop loss to lock in gains The trader stated in a post that they have taken profit on one-tenth of the position and set a stop loss at $45, with the next take profit target at $62. This "adding to winning positions + trailing stop" approach is a typical trend trading tactic and key to protecting profits in high leverage markets. 3. Assassin community view: The most dangerous thing in the current market is not the decline, but "emotional mismatch" As a frontline trader, I want to share some heartfelt words: 1. Macro risks cannot be ignored Rate hike expectations are not slogans; they genuinely affect institutional risk appetite. Saylor’s pause in accumulation and institutional models turning bearish are more valuable references than retail sentiment. The strength of current buy support will directly determine if BTC can hold key levels. 2. The local rally’s essence is liquidity’s "last supper" The surge in small coins like HYPE is largely a pooling of existing funds during the macro policy vacuum, not a signal of overall market strength. The high leverage frenzy comes fast and goes fast; once the broader market corrects, these volatile coins will fall faster than they rose. 3. Three suggestions for ordinary traders ◦ Don’t get swept up by extreme emotions: whether it’s the "financial tsunami theory" or the "all-in get-rich-quick theory," both are market noise. ◦ Control leverage, protect principal: in times of rising macro uncertainty, high leverage trading has very low tolerance for errors. ◦ Focus on key support levels: BTC buy support and institutional position changes are the core basis for judging trends. Final words The market is always right, but market sentiment is always wrong. On one side, macro clouds loom; on the other, micro leverage frenzy rages. This contradiction is the truest reflection of the current market. As traders, what we must do is not take sides but stay clear-headed, control risk, and seek certainty in an uncertain market. Original by Assassin community, unauthorized reproduction prohibited. If you are also paying attention to current market opportunities and risks, feel free to share your views in the comments. #加息重回讨论桌：机构信号集体转弱 #HYPE多空博弈 #罗素3000指数新增六家加密公司 $BTC $ETH $BSB

Just took some photos outside Received the gathering notice, taking a shower I'll start my shift Time to make some trades～ $BTC $ETH $BSB

Saving one is better than none Stop shorting...... The biggest airdrops have all liquidated Currently holding 50 with stop loss Take profit at one fifth Next take profit target at 64.8 #HYPE多空决战：最大空头爆仓删号 $BTC $ETH $BSB

Those still shorting ZEC are about to be completely liquidated💥$ZEC According to the long and short data of ZEC on three major platforms ZEC is about to trigger a short squeeze Currently taking profit on one-fifth Stop loss set at 620 Next take profit target at 688 #HYPE多空决战：最大空头爆仓删号 $BTC $ETH

I see many people collecting ingredient cards during the Pizza Festival The assassin community Just focused on making trades Earning hundreds or thousands of dollars per trade And they don't care anymore #披萨节狂欢：集齐食材卡，瓜分15BTC $BTC $ETH $BSB

$GMT is about to be hard to hold Because the Russell 3000 Index added six new crypto companies Might trigger a rally later Currently set stop loss at 0.013 Next take profit target at 0.0115 $BTC $ETH #罗素3000指数新增六家加密公司

Just finished studying the impact of Anthropic going from being banned to securing a CIA contract Currently, I am starting my shift Starting to place orders now #政策反转：Anthropic从被封禁到获CIA合同 $BTC $ETH $BSB

Oil prices have plummeted again! This has intensified crypto volatility Having a big picture mindset is a good thing $NEAR Without the big picture, you can't aim for big gains 👍🏻 Currently taking profit on one-sixth Setting a stop loss at 2.2 Next take profit target at 2.48 $BTC $ETH #美伊协议基本谈妥，油价暴跌加密普涨