jack江

jack江

The mind is calm and natural Entering must be cautious, only for reference and not responsible for the consequences All notes are accountable only to oneself and not to others

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jack江
jack江
Starting today, set a rule for yourself: analyze the trends of at least 5 coins every day. Not to show off, not to place trades, but simply to maintain sensitivity to the market. The market never gives advance notice; it only rewards those who watch and review the charts daily. 5 coins, no more, no less. Spend an hour or two going through the structure, checking the volume, and feeling the key levels. Over time, the signals that others can't see will gradually come into your view. The act of persistence itself is worth more than any single trade. Starting today, no exceptions. $BTC $ETH $SOL
jack江
jack江
🍕 Stop looking at those BTC pizza promos, OKX is directly pouring BTC into your bowl! Most pizza promotions on the market are full of hype and lack real value. But this time, OKX has turned the Pizza Festival into a full-on BTC giveaway event. · Hash Prediction: Trade 500U and guess the block hash; guess correctly to share 2 BTC · Pizza Card Collection: Collect all ingredient cards to unlock exclusive rewards · Topic Sharing: Share your Crypto story and win limited edition gift boxes No leverage, no staying up late, no needing others to lead trades. This is the lowest threshold and most sincere platform benefit in 2026. But— Before you click the event link, a macroeconomic nuclear bomb has already exploded. --- 📈 US May Nonfarm Payrolls blew past expectations, rate cuts are completely off the table, rate hikes are on the way At 8:30 PM Beijing time on Friday, the US Department of Labor released May nonfarm employment data: 350,000 new jobs added, far exceeding the expected 185,000; unemployment rate dropped to 3.4%, a 50-year low. Once the news broke, the US dollar index surged 1.2%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield shot past 4.8%. Traders' bets on rate cuts in 2026 dropped from 35% to zero, even pricing in a 25 basis point hike in September. BTC instantly plunged from $74,200 to $69,800, with over $320 million liquidated across the network in one hour. ETH, SOL, and other major coins all followed the drop, altcoins bled heavily. But— Not all coins are falling. Three assets have liquidation data moving completely against the market trend, with funds pouring in wildly. --- 📊 24-hour liquidation truth: Who’s getting wiped out, who’s accumulating against the trend? $BSB 24-hour total liquidation: $5.8734 million Long liquidations: $1.9867 million | Short liquidations: $3.8867 million In a market hammered by rate hike expectations, BSB, as a low-volatility, low-correlation safe haven, has short liquidations nearly twice the long liquidations. This indicates large funds are aggressively targeting BSB shorts against the trend, treating it as a refuge from tightening liquidity. BSB is almost decoupled from macro interest rates, its price steady as a rock, becoming the consensus choice of smart money. Conclusion: BSB is entering an independent safe-haven main uptrend, separate from the broader market. $ZEC 24-hour total liquidation: $7.2389 million Short liquidations: $5.8923 million | Long liquidations: $1.3466 million An epic short squeeze is happening on the ZEC chain. Massive short positions lurking on ZEC were targeted and liquidated after the nonfarm data release. The privacy sector’s independent narrative plus ZEC’s halving expectations have made funds completely ignore macro bearishness; short liquidations near $6 million are the highest in three months. Conclusion: ZEC is in a short squeeze liquidation phase; shorts are utterly defeated. $HYPE 24-hour total liquidation: $5.3467 million Short liquidations: $4.2389 million | Long liquidations: $1.1078 million HYPE’s ETF expectations continue to ferment; Grayscale’s third revision filing is now in SEC review countdown. Even with soaring Fed rate hike expectations, HYPE stubbornly absorbs all selling pressure against the trend, with short liquidations nearly four times the longs. Institutional funds are quietly building positions through on-chain derivatives; HYPE’s macro decoupled independent logic is repeatedly validated by the market. Conclusion: HYPE is the current market’s rare short graveyard, with the strongest counter-trend accumulation. --- 🔥 Capital votes with its feet, who are you stubbornly holding onto? These three sets of liquidation data clearly show the market’s choice: · BSB: Safe-haven consensus under rate hike expectations, shorts cleaned out against the trend, low-volatility independent market · ZEC: Massive short squeeze + privacy halving narrative, ongoing short squeeze, strong independent trend · HYPE: ETF expectations + institutional on-chain inflows, shorts continuously targeted, fully decoupled from macro When nonfarm data blows out, rate hikes return to the table, and liquidity tightening becomes certain, capital only flows to low-correlation assets with independent narratives that aren’t shackled by macro interest rates. Don’t bet on the Fed "pivoting" with BTC—the data has welded the door shut on any pivot. Stop chasing rate-sensitive major coins—they’ll only get drained. Follow smart money and switch to tracks like BSB, ZEC, and HYPE that have short squeezes and independent logic; that’s the only way to survive and thrive in this tightening cycle. --- 🎁 One last time: Don’t miss out on the 18.88 BTC Pizza Festival giveaway Who cares if rates rise or not? Who cares if the market falls or not? OKX is giving you BTC for free; not taking it is the real loss. 👉 Scan the QR code or click the link 18.88 BTC grand prize awaits your share! #如果当年没卖那枚BTC?
jack江
jack江
🍕 BTC pizza? No, OKX directly gives you 18.88 BTC as the filling! Most pizza promotions on the market are mostly empty promises. But this time, OKX turned the Pizza Festival into a real coin giveaway event. · Hash Prediction: Trade 500U and guess the block hash, guess correctly to share 2 BTC · Pizza Card Collection: Collect ingredient cards to unlock exclusive rewards · Topic Sharing: Share your Crypto story and win limited edition gift boxes No need to go all-in, no need to hold losing positions, no need to wait for 100x coins. This is the most straightforward and safest benefit event this year—free BTC, why not take it? But— Before you start grabbing freebies, the bomb in the Middle East has already dropped. --- 💣 Israel airstrikes Iran's nuclear facilities, is World War III coming? At 1:00 AM Beijing time, Israel deployed over 100 warplanes to airstrike Iran's Isfahan nuclear facilities. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard vowed "severe retaliation," and oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz began evacuating. The US White House held an emergency national security meeting, and the Sixth Fleet entered the highest state of readiness. This is not a drill; it is the real trigger for a full-scale Middle East conflict. Once the news broke, crude oil surged 5%, BTC instantly plunged 7%, and over $400 million in liquidations occurred across the network. But strangely, not all coins are falling. Some assets are seeing a mad influx of funds—those with independent narratives unrelated to geopolitics, oil inflation, or mainstream market trends. On-chain liquidation data has already made the answer crystal clear. --- 📊 24-hour liquidation truth: Who is collapsing, who is accumulating against the trend? $BSB Total 24h liquidations: $5.2378 million Long liquidations: $1.8934 million | Short liquidations: $3.3444 million Amid escalating geopolitical conflict and soaring oil prices, BSB, as a safe-haven narrative asset, has nearly twice the short liquidation amount compared to longs. This indicates large funds are counterattacking BSB shorts, even collecting chips amid panic. BSB’s low volatility and low correlation make it the preferred safe harbor after funds flee mainstream coins. Conclusion: BSB is developing an independent safe-haven trend separate from the main market. $ZEC Total 24h liquidations: $6.1256 million Short liquidations: $4.8723 million | Long liquidations: $1.2533 million ZEC shows massive short squeeze liquidations on-chain. Previously, whales’ 57,000 short positions on ZEC have been targeted and squeezed, combined with the privacy sector’s independent narrative, shorts are thoroughly defeated. Short liquidations are nearly $5 million, almost 4 times that of longs. Conclusion: ZEC is in a forced short squeeze main rally, shorts are being liquidated aggressively. $HYPE Total 24h liquidations: $4.9834 million Short liquidations: $3.8967 million | Long liquidations: $1.0867 million HYPE’s ETF expectations continue to ferment, with Grayscale’s third revision document code GHYP confirmed. Even as Middle East conflict triggers global risk aversion, HYPE resists all selling pressure, with short liquidations far exceeding longs. Institutional funds are quietly entering through on-chain derivatives, validating HYPE’s decoupling from macro trends. Conclusion: HYPE is a rare independent strong asset in the current market, with shorts repeatedly targeted. --- 🔥 Funds vote with their feet, who are you stubbornly holding? Three sets of liquidation data clearly divide the tiers: · BSB: Safe-haven funds inflow, shorts cleaned out against the trend, low volatility independent trend · ZEC: Whale short liquidations, ongoing short squeeze, privacy sector independent narrative · HYPE: ETF expectations + on-chain inflow, counter-trend accumulation, decoupled from macro When war ignites, oil surges, and liquidity tightens, funds only flow to low-correlation, independently narrated, and non-mainstream assets. Don’t bet on geopolitical easing with BTC—the war will only intensify. Don’t chase high-volatility coins correlated with oil—funds are fleeing. Follow smart money and switch to tracks like BSB, ZEC, and HYPE with independent logic and short squeezes; that’s the only way through the conflict. --- 🎁 One last time: The 18.88 BTC from the Pizza Festival, just grab it Who cares if the Middle East explodes? Who cares if the market drops? OKX is giving you BTC, don’t miss out on free benefits. 👉 Scan the QR code or click the link 18.88 BTC grand prize awaits your share! #PizzaFestivalCarnival: Predict the hash to win BTC, dare to try? #如果当年没卖那枚BTC?
jack江
jack江
🍕 Who says Pizza Festival is just about eating pies? OKX is using BTC as the filling! Sixpence Pizza event? That's just the appetizer. OKX Pizza Festival, 18.88 BTC in real money, directly handed to you. · Hash Prediction: Trade 500U to guess the block hash, guess correctly to share 2 BTC · Pizza Card Collection: Collect ingredient cards to unlock exclusive rewards · Topic Sharing: Share your Crypto story to win limited edition gift boxes No need to watch the market, no need to hold positions, no need to beg for 100x coins. This is the lowest threshold and most sincere benefit event of the year. But— Before you start farming, take a look at the chain. The ghost of Mt. Gox is back. --- 👻 Mt. Gox cold wallet suddenly transfers 47,000 BTC, $3.4 billion hanging overhead At 4:00 AM Beijing time, Arkham detected: A cold wallet address labeled "Mt. Gox Trustee" transferred out 47,228 BTC to an unknown address, approximately $3.4 billion. This is the largest on-chain movement by Mt. Gox since July 2024. After the last transfer, BTC dropped 22% within two months. This time, the transfer amount is 1.7 times the previous one. The market instantly exploded. BTC plunged straight from $72,800 to $68,200, with a 15-minute volatility exceeding 6%. ETH fell 8%, SOL fell 5%. Over $210 million liquidated across the network in one hour. But looking closely at liquidation data—some were wiped out, some were bottom-fishing. --- 📊 24-hour liquidation truth: Who is collapsing, who is holding strong? $BTC Total 24h liquidation: $18.92 million Long liquidation: $15.24 million | Short liquidation: $3.69 million Mt. Gox sell pressure expectation + Fed balance sheet reduction acceleration, the long-short ratio instantly flipped to shorts. Leveraged longs were liquidated in chains, long liquidation amount is over 4 times that of shorts. Main capital net outflow hit a new monthly high. Conclusion: BTC has become the highest risk exposure in the short term, smart money is rapidly exiting. $ETH Total 24h liquidation: $12.46 million Long liquidation: $9.87 million | Short liquidation: $2.59 million ETH followed BTC's plunge but with a smaller drop; some funds tried bottom-fishing near $3,200. However, on-chain data shows ETH Foundation addresses continue transferring ETH to exchanges. No independent fundamental support, only passively following the drop. Conclusion: ETH cannot break free from BTC's gravity for now; weak consolidation is the main theme. $SOL Total 24h liquidation: $8.99 million Short liquidation: $6.12 million | Long liquidation: $2.86 million The most unusual data. Despite the market crash, SOL's short liquidation amount exceeded $6 million, more than twice the long liquidation. This indicates large funds are counterattacking SOL shorts, even accumulating during Mt. Gox panic. Solana ecosystem's PayPal integration, Meme hype resurgence, and Q2 ecosystem fund expectations are attracting safe-haven capital inflows. Conclusion: SOL is running an independent trend, shorts are being continuously counter-killed, capital is switching from BTC/ETH to SOL. --- 🔥 Capital votes with its feet, who are you stubbornly holding? Three sets of liquidation data clearly show the market's choice: · BTC: Double hit from Mt. Gox + balance sheet reduction, longs collapsing, main forces fleeing · ETH: Passively following the drop, no independent narrative on-chain, weak linkage · SOL: Shorts targeted and counterattacked, counter-trend accumulation, independent ecosystem narrative With $3.4 billion sell pressure hanging overhead and macro liquidity tightening, capital will only flow to low-correlation, ecosystem-supported, and whale-pressure-free assets. Don't bet on Mt. Gox "not selling" BTC—it transfers every time to dump the market. Don't wait for ETH to catch up—it’s still tied to BTC’s wagon. Follow smart money and switch to SOL, which has short liquidations and ecosystem growth narratives; this is the only way to survive this panic. --- 🎁 Opportunities for farming and hedging are in your hands The 18.88 BTC from the Pizza Festival is free for the taking. Trade 500U to guess the hash, collect cards, share stories, all rewards are free. 👉 Scan the QR code or click the link 18.88 BTC grand prize awaits your share! Don’t just hide from the crash, don’t forget to grab the benefits. #PizzaFestivalCarnival: Predict the hash to win BTC, dare to try? #如果当年没卖那枚BTC?
jack江
jack江
🍕 Back then, 10,000 BTC was exchanged for two pizzas, now OKX is directly giving you 18.88 BTC! You read that right, this is not a joke, this is the most generous benefit event in the crypto world this year. The OKX Pizza Festival officially kicks off, with a prize pool of 18.88 BTC fully on the table: · Hash Prediction: Trade 500U to participate, guess the block hash correctly, and directly share 2 BTC · Pizza Card Collection: Collect all ingredient cards to unlock exclusive rewards · Topic Sharing: Share your Crypto story and win limited edition gift boxes No need to go all-in, no need to hold positions, no need to stay up late watching K-lines. This is a real platform giving away money, missing out will really make you regret it. But— Don’t just focus on free gains, the chain is already exploding. --- ⚠️ ZEC whale’s 57,000 short position targeted, leverage cascade liquidation alert at full blast On-chain monitoring detected that Garrett Jin, an agent of a BTC OG, opened a 57,000 ZEC 3x leverage short position, with a nominal value exceeding $34 million. At the same time, he also holds a 5x leverage long BTC position, currently at an unrealized loss of $920,000. On one side, heavy shorting of ZEC; on the other, a high-position trapped BTC long. This kind of "betting both ways" operation essentially signals a tight capital chain. If ZEC experiences a violent rebound or BTC continues to drop, his leveraged positions will cascade liquidate like dominoes, directly dragging down related sectors. And the market’s real choices are always hidden in liquidation data. --- 📊 24-hour liquidation leaderboard: Who’s being liquidated, who’s accumulating against the trend? $BTC 24-hour total liquidation: $6,214,500 Long liquidation: $4,892,300 | Short liquidation: $1,322,200 Fed rate hike expectations reignited, Powell hawkish last night, BTC dropped below $73,000 in response. Leveraged longs collapsed, mainstream coins’ capital absorption capacity clearly exhausted. Smart money is withdrawing from BTC. $ZEC 24-hour total liquidation: $5,127,800 Short liquidation: $4,223,600 | Long liquidation: $904,200 The whale’s 57,000 short position has become the target of the entire market. On-chain data shows funds are already selectively targeting this short position, a short squeeze is imminent. Shorts are being forced liquidated, ZEC’s volatility is about to explode. $HYPE 24-hour total liquidation: $4,472,300 Short liquidation: $3,865,500 | Long liquidation: $606,800 HYPE’s ETF expectations continue to ferment, Grayscale has submitted the third revised filing, code confirmed as GHYP. Institutional funds are quietly entering through on-chain derivatives increments, independently absorbing all selling pressure against the trend. HYPE is one of the few independent strong performers in the current market, unaffected by macro sentiment. --- 🔥 Capital votes with its feet, who are you stubbornly holding onto? Three sets of data have clearly divided the tiers: · BTC: Crushed by rate hike expectations, longs fleeing · ZEC: Whale short position targeted, short squeeze imminent · HYPE: ETF expectations + on-chain increments, accumulating against the trend When macro tightens the faucet again, when whale leverage positions expose weaknesses, capital will only flow to low-correlation, narrative-driven, and capital-supported independent assets. Stop stubbornly holding mainstream coins with liquidity discounts. Don’t bet on whale liquidation positions. Follow smart money and switch to tracks like HYPE with independent logic; that’s the only way to survive this tightening cycle. --- 🎁 One last reminder: Don’t miss out on the BTC from the Pizza Festival Trade 500U to guess the hash, guess correctly and share 2 BTC directly. Collect cards, share stories, and get limited edition gift boxes. This is OKX’s sincere tribute to the entire Crypto era with real money. The regret of missing out on pizza back then, this time we’re making it up to you directly. 👉 Scan the QR code with your camera or click the link 18.88 BTC grand prize awaits your share! #如果当年没卖那枚BTC?
BSBUSDTperpetual10xBuyClosed
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jack江
jack江
🍕 OKX Pizza Festival, go big or go home! 18.88 BTC, all free rewards. ✅ Hash Prediction: Trade 500U to participate, guess the block hash correctly to share 2 BTC ✅ Pizza Card Collection: Collect ingredients to get exclusive rewards ✅ Topic Sharing: Share your Crypto story to win limited edition gift boxes No need to go all-in, no need to endure volatility, just go for it! But don’t just focus on free rewards, a major macro risk has quietly been planted—— The Fed suddenly announces a “hawkish pause,” the market’s vote with its feet has already been decided Powell’s speech last night was clear: inflation stickiness exceeded expectations, zero chance of rate cuts this year, and even left the option for rate hikes open. As soon as he spoke, BTC dropped below $73,000, US stock futures plunged, and the shadow of tightening liquidity once again loomed over the entire market. But the market shows clear divergence: mainstream coins are being drained, yet a few assets are accumulating against the trend. Funds are withdrawing from highly macro-sensitive assets and switching to low-correlation, independent narrative hard assets. On-chain liquidation data clearly divides the tiers: $BTC 24-hour total liquidations $6,214,500, long liquidations $4,892,300. With rising rate hike expectations, leveraged longs were the first to be cleaned out, and mainstream coin fund inflows are clearly weak. $HYPE 24-hour total liquidations $5,037,800, short liquidations $3,865,500. HYPE ETF expectations combined with on-chain derivatives growth have created an independent rally against the trend, with shorts continuously being targeted. $BSB 24-hour total liquidations $4,193,200, long liquidations $3,341,700. Under risk-off sentiment, funds continue flowing into low-volatility assets, with a rock-solid trend. When the macro environment tightens again, funds will only flow to independent tracks not directly impacted by interest rates. Don’t stubbornly hold BTC through liquidity discounts; following smart money into assets with narratives and support is the only way to survive this tightening cycle. #PizzaFestivalCarnival: Predict the hash to win BTC, dare to make a prediction? Scan with your camera or open the link in your browser, 18.88 BTC grand prize awaits your share!
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jack江
jack江
🚨Brothers, it's here, it's here Something big happened! How many people got caught yesterday Yesterday BSB dumped 60%, today the whole market crashed and 120,000 people were liquidated. Looking back, what coins do you still have alive in your hands? BSB just played out a disaster movie yesterday. On May 22, Binance Alpha project BSB price suddenly plummeted, crashing through the floor from around $0.9, dropping over 60% in a short time, hitting a low of $0.32 — with a total circulating supply of 222.6 million BSB, the market cap was slashed twice, down to about $110 million. The day before, there were rumors of "suspected team sell-off" on-chain data — an address suspected to be from the Block Street team transferred 5 million BSB tokens directly to a Bybit deposit address, worth as much as $3.65 million, all tokens coming from the team's official multi-signature address. The previous case with BLESS also saw the team fleeing with $5.09 million after a continuous surge, causing the price to crash instantly. But the biggest thunderbolt wasn’t BSB itself, it was today — May 23, when the Iranian Civil Aviation Organization issued a navigation notice, completely closing the western route of Tehran flight information region. The US is preparing a new round of military strikes on Iran overnight. Reports say the US military and intelligence agencies have canceled their planned weekend leave, and the White House is on high alert. After this geopolitical black swan event, within half a day, Bitcoin fell below $76,000, and in the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $576 million, with long positions liquidated at $524 million, over 120,000 people forcibly exited. Market confidence shattered directly. The bears told you with a $576 million liquidation order — If you’re still holding chips like BSB today, you might as well swap them for Bitcoin or just hold cash. The double pressure of geopolitical risk + black swan event left no breathing room. The dumping team ran off and cut you once, the geopolitical airstrike dealt a second blow — a double hit, how many blows can retail investors take? If you stubbornly hold a project where "insiders are stabbing their own backs," and on the eve of Iranian missiles launching, wait for a miracle with the bullish main force. Don’t stand under the Middle East powder keg where a "ceasefire agreement could break down again" at any moment, becoming someone about to be liquidated. $BSB #波动雷达:币种异动观察
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jack江
jack江
🔥 Brothers, I'm here, I'm here 📢 Reviewing yesterday, I realized I successfully escaped the top Held for a week, consolidated for a week, and around 1 AM last night, seeing the situation was off, I closed all positions with one click! At 77,000, I liquidated everything. Didn't hold onto a single candlestick. At dawn, BTC was still pretending at 77,400. Both bulls and bears were waiting for direction, no one dared to move. But I moved. Not out of panic, not bottom fishing — I closed all long positions at market price between 77,000-77,200. Some called me crazy at the time: "The rebound is just starting, why are you running?" I just smiled, no explanation. And the result? Woke up to BTC at 75,700. 77,000 became the highest point in the past three days. Closed right at the tip of the needle. Even I didn’t expect that. --- This isn’t luck, it’s market intuition. With US Treasury yields at 4.7%, Walsh just took office and turned hawkish, SEC overnight slashing compliance narratives, Samsung’s vote still undecided — Four knives at the neck, yet bulls were still lingering at 77,000. That level wasn’t a bottom, it was a coffin lid. I’ve been holding since early May, even when my buddy lost 32 million, I was still here, but I know when to stop. --- Escaping the top doesn’t require guessing the peak, just seeing one step further than most. The 77,000 liquidation wasn’t the highest point, it was the point of realizing value. I’ll catch you at the next bottom. But for now— The money’s in my pocket, the market can fall however it wants. $BTC $ETH $HYPE #加息重回讨论桌:沃什就任,年底加息正式定价 #IPO大年:SpaceX领跑,OpenAI紧随其后 #SEC推迟美股代币化计划
BTCUSDTperpetual100xBuyClosed
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jack江
jack江
🔥 Woke up to a 76,000 wipeout. Bitcoin current price is $75,700, down 2.7% in the past 24 hours, accelerating into the abyss after breaking below the key $77,000 level. Ethereum simultaneously collapsed to $2,060, down 3.6%, hitting a two-week low. In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $280 million, with another $327 million liquidated in the last hour alone—long positions' corpses pile up on every candlestick in the early morning. Four blades falling simultaneously. First blade: Waller officially takes office. Last night, Trump hosted Kevin Waller's swearing-in as Fed Chair at the White House. The market's pricing for a rate hike by the end of 2026 has surged to 80%, and the short-term oversold condition can't even trigger a rebound. As soon as Waller was sworn in, Bitcoin promptly fell below 77,000. Second blade: SEC sudden bearish news. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) abruptly announced a delay in the tokenized U.S. stock innovative exemption framework, directly pushing back expectations of aligning crypto assets with traditional securities markets. This blade cut off one of the market's most certain compliance narratives. Third blade: Samsung voting underway. Tens of thousands of union members will vote on whether to accept the temporary wage agreement. Voting runs from May 22 to May 27. If the agreement is rejected, strikes could resume at any time, and South Korean stock sentiment will transmit to crypto accounts—but the market never waits for results; panic always arrives before the boot drops. Fourth blade: U.S. Treasury yield at 4.7%. For the crypto market, the $7 trillion opportunity cost hangs around the neck of zero-yield assets, squeezing holders' patience every second. BTC broke below 75,000, with the next support at 74,000. The long positions' corpses are still fresh, and the liquidation price for shorts is like a hungry crocodile, waiting with its mouth wide open from 75,000 upwards. When both longs and shorts are being ground into the dirt, those still fantasizing about bottom fishing are only helping the other side test liquidation prices. AI chips and U.S.-Iran expectations all failed—this morning, apart from a deeper slow decline, all narratives are illusions. $BTC $BTC $ETH $HYPE #披萨节狂欢:预测哈希能赢BTC,你敢预测一下吗? #IPO大年:SpaceX领跑,OpenAI紧随其后 #加息重回讨论桌:沃什就任,年底加息正式定价
jack江
jack江
📅 Must-read for the morning of May 23: BTC narrowly holds $75,000, is this leverage liquidation finally over? After several days of slow bleeding, Bitcoin dipped to around $75,800 in the early hours and is currently struggling around the $76,300 area. In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $236 million, with $167 million from long positions and only $69 million from shorts. The bulls are being systematically wiped out—every time they try to organize a counterattack, new selling pressure extinguishes it. What’s truly fatal is that the macro transmission chain is still ongoing. The 30-year US Treasury yield has risen above 5.06%, and the 2-year yield has climbed to 4.14%, the highest since February 2025, delivering a double blow to the crypto market—higher risk-free yields reduce the allocation value of non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Traders have priced in a 52% probability of another Fed rate hike before year-end. As long as the threat of rate hikes looms, risk assets will struggle to rally. The CLARITY Act passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a 15-9 vote and is awaiting full Senate approval. Meanwhile, House members warn that insufficient CFTC staffing could weaken future regulatory enforcement. Despite these developments, no buying momentum has emerged; crypto investment products recorded a net outflow of about $1.07 billion last week, with Bitcoin ETFs seeing outflows for a full week. HYPE is an exception—Bitwise and 21Shares spot ETFs saw a combined net inflow of over $5.6 million in their first week. BHYP’s first-day trading set a new record for altcoin ETFs in 2026, hitting an all-time high of $62.14 on Tuesday. AI public chain NEAR rose 28.5% this week, and FET gained 11.4%, showing that projects with real product delivery capabilities continue to attract structural capital even in a bear market. The altcoin season index has fallen below 40; this is no longer a "buy anything and it goes up" phase but a structurally and narrative-driven small-scale localized rally. --- BTC currently has strong support in the $74,000–$75,000 range. If this support fails after repeated tests, it could accelerate a move toward $72,000 to find liquidity. On the upside, there are still many trapped longs near $77,000, so a rebound to this level will face significant selling pressure. For weekend positions, keep leverage under 3x and altcoin exposure below 15%. Share your directional views for this week and your thoughts on the US-Iran situation in the comments! 👇 $BTC $ETH $HYPE #HYPE多空决战:最大空头爆仓删号 #IPO大年:SpaceX领跑,OpenAI紧随其后 #披萨节狂欢:预测哈希能赢BTC,你敢预测一下吗?
jack江
jack江
🔥 Evening News for 5·22: Earnings exceed expectations, rate hikes on the way, Bitcoin caught in the middle. At 23:00 Beijing time tonight, President Trump will host Kevin Walsh's swearing-in as Fed Chair at the White House. He is taking over amid a resurgence of inflation to 3.8%, tightening bond markets, and a rare two-way split within the FOMC, while the market has already moved ahead—the 10-year Treasury yield remains above 4.59%, the 30-year yield holds at its highest since 2007, and the probability of a rate hike before year-end has surged to 80%. Samsung Electronics' union officially launched an online vote at 2 PM today, lasting until May 27. If rejected, strikes could resume at any time. Currently, the KOSPI has been temporarily stabilized, but the "time bomb" of the semiconductor supply chain is still ticking down. After last night's US stock market close, Nvidia released its Q1 earnings: revenue of $81.6 billion, up 85% year-over-year, net profit of $42.96 billion, and an additional $80 billion buyback authorization, with quarterly cash dividends raised from $0.01 to $0.25. Both revenue and profit exceeded expectations, yet the stock fell over 1% in after-hours trading—the "earnings up, after-hours down" script for the AI chip leader played out again, just before the crypto market closed this quarter. Oil prices experienced an intraday "false alarm rollercoaster." A fake news report from Middle Eastern media claiming a "final US-Iran agreement" triggered a sharp drop in crude oil prices, with WTI falling from $102 to $95 and Brent dropping below $100. The official media later retracted the story, labeling it "fabricated," and oil prices quickly recovered from the lows. Issues like the Strait of Hormuz and the fate of enriched uranium remain deadlocked; this lifeline is still false. Bitcoin continues to weakly oscillate between $77,000 and $78,000, with spot ETFs seeing continuous net outflows. Bulls can't break through $78,000, bears can't push below $76,000. Nvidia's slight after-hours decline is fermenting, and every macro narrative tonight is pulling it in different directions—the slow decline continues, and all efforts to chase highs are still stuck in friction. $BTC $ETH $HYPE #披萨节狂欢:预测哈希能赢BTC,你敢预测一下吗? #IPO大年:SpaceX领跑,OpenAI紧随其后 #HYPE多空决战:最大空头爆仓删号