
BIT:比特币 6 月或迎来关键拐点

ChainCatcher 消息,据 BIT 分析,比特币年初至今下跌 16%,同时正进入历史上回报偏弱的季节性窗口。过去十年中,6 月比特币平均回报率仅为 +0.7%,夏季月份通常以震荡整理为主。不过,今年的走势可能不完全遵循历史规律。5 月通常是比特币表现较强的月份之一,但今年的涨幅明显低于历史均值,季节性反转的概率也因此上升。
与此同时,多个重要催化因素即将落地,包括美国受监管加密永续期货产品,以及计划于 6 月 8 日推出的 NasdaqCME 加密指数期货。尽管季节性压力仍在,但从战术角度看,比特币或已接近短期底部。若这些催化因素带来新的买盘支撑,比特币有望迎来反弹。
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